This winter’s El Niño: why we’re watching California 7 August 2026 This is the latest in our series on what a strong El Niño could mean for risk this year. Previous posts looked at why a big El Niño event looked ... Read
Beyond hurricanes: El Niño, La Niña, and Severe Convective Storms 17 July 2026 As the 2026 El Niño rapidly develops, Inigo and collaborators have published a series of articles exploring how seasonal climate signals can inform ... Read
Insight to action: making seasonal hurricane forecasts pay off in risk transfer markets 29 June 2026 By Ian Bolliger, Reask, and Francesco Comola, LGT ILS Partners Key points In this post, we will put insights from ... Read
El Niño, Hurricanes, and the Bias We Don’t Talk About 18 June 2026 NOAA has confirmed the emergence of El Niño, but what does that mean to decision-makers on the ground? A closer look at seasonal hurricane ... Read
A Big El Niño Event is Likely in 2026. But What’s the Context Behind the Headlines, and What are the Global Implications? 11 June 2026 Key points Understanding the forecast surrounding a potentially very strong event The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a primary driver of ... Read
Inigo’s 2025 Seasonal Hurricane Outlook 20 March 2026 Key Points Seasonal Hurricane Forecasting Background The Atlantic Ocean is starting to wake up and with it eyes are turning towards the upcoming ... Read
Fire Season 2025 in western North America: Distinctly unusual, and still evolving 20 March 2026 Daniel Swain PhD Key Points An anomalous winter firestorm: the Los Angeles fires of January 2025 While by many definitions the traditional “fire ... Read
Hurricane Season 2024 retrospective 20 March 2026 by Charles Powell (University of Cambridge) and Ruth Petrie (Inigo) Key points Forecasts for the season Coming into the 2024 hurricane season, almost ... Read
Rainfall Extremes in a Changing Climate: Detecting Change and Improving Predictions 20 March 2026 Key Points Last week I was in Vienna at the annual meeting of the European Geoscience Union (EGU), a large gathering of the wider international ... Read
2024 Hurricane Season Preview 20 March 2026 2023 saw a “Battle Royale” commence between two competing forces – a developing El Niño in the Pacific and warm seas in the Atlantic – and ... Read
