Archives

6 September 2024

AI Weather Forecasts and Typhoon Shanshan

Typhoon Shanshan made landfall in the Kagoshima Prefecture of southern Japan on August 29th bringing considerable flooding and rainfall with it. Some ...
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10 July 2024

Beryl vs. Harvey

Hurricane Harvey in 2017 and Hurricane Beryl this past week, both followed similar tracks prior to their landfall in the US near Houston. They both ...
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1 July 2024

Hurricane Beryl

On the 30th of June 2024 Hurricane Beryl entered the history books as the only Category 4 hurricane to form in June. On the 28th of June at 18:00 ...
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9 May 2024

US hurricane 2024 landfall risk

The 2024 hurricane season is fast approaching, and expectations are set for heightened activity due to warm sea surface temperatures across the ...
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3 April 2024

Activity by ENSO and SST

Two key factors that play a significant role in shaping the frequency and intensity of Atlantic hurricanes are the sea surface temperatures (SST) in ...
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13 February 2024

August Hurricane Forecasts

We’re getting to the time of year when seasonal forecasts extend into the hurricane season. Whilst no model forecast should ever be taken as ...
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28 December 2023

ENSO: This year and next year

There’s an interesting behaviour in ENSO activity when we have an El Nino present during the hurricane season. What we tend to find is that ...
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22 November 2023

2023 Tropical Cyclone Activity

As the 2023 tropical season in the Northern Hemisphere draws to a close, it is timely to consider how this year’s activity stacks up. This year has ...
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30 October 2023

Otis and the bigger sea temperature picture

As an additional follow-up on the previous post regarding Otis, you may recall it seems as though the sort of sea surface warmth we saw that Otis ...
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