25 October 2023 Otis in a warm sea year Otis’ remarkable unforecasted rapid deepening reminds us how difficult it still it to prognose the intensity of systems even if we are getting ... Read
16 October 2023 Classifying wildfires Climate change is leading to changes in wildfires. As the temperature increases, so conditions become drier and more supportive of longer and more ... Read
12 October 2023 El Nino’s Impact on Winter Storm Losses With the ongoing El Nino causing so much discussion around how it might impact this summer’s hurricane season (more about that here) – we ... Read
17 September 2023 Tropical Depression 15’s Europe Threat The animation shown here is one of 50 forecasts from Saturday 17th run by the ECMWF every 12 hours to help us understand uncertainty in weather ... Read
13 September 2023 El Nino: Update In this year’s unique hurricane season, we have a “Battle Royale” between the warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures (SSTs) and the developing ... Read
6 September 2023 Hurricane landfall rates Hurricane Idalia makes it four seasons in a row with a major hurricane landfall. It gives us a chance to have a look at how major (Cat 3+) hurricane ... Read
31 August 2023 Hurricane Idalia Idalia made landfall as a major hurricane this week in a season where we’ve been anticipating what might become of a Battle Royale between the ... Read
24 August 2023 Lahaina Wildfire Lahaina, located on the northwest coast of the Hawaiian island of Maui, experienced a devasting wildfire in August 2023. Several factors likely ... Read