Archives

25 October 2023

Otis in a warm sea year

Otis’ remarkable unforecasted rapid deepening reminds us how difficult it still it to prognose the intensity of systems even if we are getting ...
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16 October 2023

Classifying wildfires

Climate change is leading to changes in wildfires. As the temperature increases, so conditions become drier and more supportive of longer and more ...
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12 October 2023

El Nino’s Impact on Winter Storm Losses

With the ongoing El Nino causing so much discussion around how it might impact this summer’s hurricane season (more about that here) – we ...
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17 September 2023

Tropical Depression 15’s Europe Threat

The animation shown here is one of 50 forecasts from Saturday 17th run by the ECMWF every 12 hours to help us understand uncertainty in weather ...
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13 September 2023

El Nino: Update

In this year’s unique hurricane season, we have a “Battle Royale” between the warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures (SSTs) and the developing ...
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6 September 2023

Hurricane landfall rates

Hurricane Idalia makes it four seasons in a row with a major hurricane landfall. It gives us a chance to have a look at how major (Cat 3+) hurricane ...
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31 August 2023

Hurricane Idalia

Idalia made landfall as a major hurricane this week in a season where we’ve been anticipating what might become of a Battle Royale between the ...
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31 August 2023

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24 August 2023

Lahaina Wildfire

Lahaina, located on the northwest coast of the Hawaiian island of Maui, experienced a devasting wildfire in August 2023. Several factors likely ...
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