Hurricane Beryl 1 July 2024 On the 30th of June 2024 Hurricane Beryl entered the history books as the only Category 4 hurricane to form in June. On the 28th of June at 18:00 ... Read
US hurricane 2024 landfall risk 9 May 2024 The 2024 hurricane season is fast approaching, and expectations are set for heightened activity due to warm sea surface temperatures across the ... Read
Activity by ENSO and SST 3 April 2024 Two key factors that play a significant role in shaping the frequency and intensity of Atlantic hurricanes are the sea surface temperatures (SST) in ... Read
August Hurricane Forecasts 13 February 2024 We’re getting to the time of year when seasonal forecasts extend into the hurricane season. Whilst no model forecast should ever be taken as ... Read
ENSO: This year and next year 28 December 2023 There’s an interesting behaviour in ENSO activity when we have an El Nino present during the hurricane season. What we tend to find is that ... Read
2023 Tropical Cyclone Activity 22 November 2023 As the 2023 tropical season in the Northern Hemisphere draws to a close, it is timely to consider how this year’s activity stacks up. This year has ... Read
Otis and the bigger sea temperature picture 30 October 2023 As an additional follow-up on the previous post regarding Otis, you may recall it seems as though the sort of sea surface warmth we saw that Otis ... Read
Otis in a warm sea year 25 October 2023 Otis’ remarkable unforecasted rapid deepening reminds us how difficult it still it to prognose the intensity of systems even if we are getting ... Read
Classifying wildfires 16 October 2023 Climate change is leading to changes in wildfires. As the temperature increases, so conditions become drier and more supportive of longer and more ... Read
El Nino’s Impact on Winter Storm Losses 12 October 2023 With the ongoing El Nino causing so much discussion around how it might impact this summer’s hurricane season (more about that here) – we ... Read