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Elevated hurricane risk for 2025 as a warm Atlantic and weak La Niña conditions align

6 June 2025
Predicted conditions for the 2025 hurricane season include above average Atlantic sea surface temperatures and neutral to weak La Niña conditions in ...
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NEWS

Wildfire Vulnerability – You’re as Safe as Your Weakest Link

19 May 2025
In wildfires, buildings are only as resilient as their most vulnerable features. It’s often assumed that homes with metal roofs will perform better ...
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Seasonal Hurricane Forecast – May Update

16 May 2025
June 1st is right around the corner, and with it the start of the Atlantic hurricane season. When we issued our seasonal outlook in March, we ...
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Main Development Region SST Forecasts

11 March 2025
As winter turns to spring, flowers begin to bloom and seasonal hurricane forecasts are about to be released. There will be a lot of seasonal ...
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Solving the Discretised Shallow Water Equations Using Neural Networks

12 February 2025
AI technology is now ubiquitous, with specialised hardware and software playing crucial roles in the development and deployment of artificial ...
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Wildfire Whiplash – sudden shifts with painful consequences.

23 January 2025
Wildfire Whiplash – sudden shifts with painful consequences. Rapid transitions between wet and dry conditions can increase frequency and severity ...
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The Franklin Fire – Are Santa Ana Winds Getting Worse?

13 December 2024
Santa Ana winds intensified the ongoing Franklin fire in Malibu, California, forcing mass evacuations and valiant firefighting efforts. These hot, ...
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Asheville rainfall extremes

12 December 2024
Earlier this year on September 27th Asheville, NC was the center of the devastation brought by hurricane Helene, with record-breaking rainfall which ...
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Inigo Seasonal Prediction and Analysis of RisK: I-SPARK

6 December 2024
AI weather forecasting is in the news again this week, with Google DeepMind’s release of GenCast. AI weather models have made rapid progress for ...
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Atlantic hurricane seasonal changes

29 November 2024
The 2024 hurricane season began with the earliest Category 5 hurricane ever recorded. In an unprecedented twist there was an eerily long and ...
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